Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump? The odds on prediction market Kalshi are spiking. pic.twitter.com/jDz8fQWiDv
— Pop Crave (@PopCrave) June 5, 2025
The X post from Pop Crave, dated June 5, 2025, highlights a growing rift between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, focusing on a prediction market on Kalshi. The post includes two images: one showing side-by-side portraits of Musk and Trump, and another displaying a Kalshi betting market graph titled "Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump this year?" The odds on Kalshi spiked to 69%, indicating a strong likelihood of Musk unfollowing Trump on social media. This post comes amidst a public feud between the two, as detailed in related web results, where Trump threatened to cut Musk’s government contracts, and Musk made allegations involving Trump and Jeffrey Epstein files. Replies to the post range from humorous comparisons to reality TV drama to critical takes on their political alliance, with some users noting the pettiness of the situation and others speculating on further escalation, such as Trump potentially jailing Musk (with a 4% chance on Polymarket).
The Pop Crave post captures a fascinating moment in the Musk-Trump saga, reflecting how their volatile relationship has become a spectacle on social media and prediction markets like Kalshi. The 69% odds of Musk unfollowing Trump underscore the intensity of their feud, which has moved from political alliance to public sniping over both significant issues (like government contracts) and petty disputes. This drama, as some users pointed out, feels like a reality TV show—aptly dubbed the "Real Housewives of Silicon Valley"—highlighting the absurdity of two powerful figures clashing so openly. However, the stakes are high, as seen in the market reactions (Tesla and Trump’s DJT stocks dropping) and the serious allegations Musk made about Epstein files. The prediction markets, which previously gained credibility by forecasting Trump’s 2024 win, now fuel speculation on their personal fallout, showing how platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket have become barometers for public sentiment on high-profile conflicts. This situation also reveals the fragility of their alliance, which has been a topic of speculation for months, and raises questions about the broader implications for their political and business interests. It’s a messy, high-stakes drama that’s as entertaining as it is concerning.
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